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Custom Decision Systems


Questions From Leaders Who've Been Here Before
AI projects often fail because they're framed as technical projects when they're actually organizational change projects. Someone buys a platform, a team builds models, the models perform well on test data, and then nothing changes. The decisions get made the same way they always did, by the same people, using the same inputs. The AI sits on the side, technically functional and organizationally irrelevant.
The usual culprit is starting from the wrong end. "We have all this data, what can we do with it?" is a recipe for building impressive demos that don't matter. So is "leadership wants an AI initiative." These projects optimize for what's measurable by technologists: model accuracy, processing speed, data coverage. But the people making decisions don't care about F1 scores. They care about whether they can trust the output, explain it to their boss, and defend it when things go wrong.
We start from the other end: a specific decision that matters, made by specific people, who answer to specific stakeholders. What evidence do they need? What does defensible look like in their world? Where does their current process break down? The technical architecture follows from those answers, not the other way around.
This is less exciting than a general-purpose AI platform. It's slower to show results in a demo. But it's the difference between a system that gets used and a system that gets abandoned.
No. Every organization has messy data. Legacy systems that don't talk to each other. Inconsistent formats across departments. Critical knowledge that lives in someone's head or in email threads that never got documented. This isn't a sign that you're not ready. It's normal. It's what real organizations look like.
Human decision-makers work with imperfect information every day. That's the job. You rarely have complete data, perfect consistency, or full confidence in your sources. You make the best call you can with what you have, while staying aware of what you don't know. A good decision system should work the same way.
What matters isn't whether your data is clean. What matters is whether you can see where it's not. The dangerous systems are the ones that ingest whatever they're given and produce confident-looking outputs. You get a false sense of reliability because the mess is hidden from view. We take the opposite approach: surface the gaps, make uncertainty explicit, track provenance so you know where each piece of evidence came from and how much weight to give it.
Sometimes the most valuable early output is just showing decision-makers where their evidence base is weak. That's not a failure of the system. That's the system working. You can't improve what you can't see, and you can't account for risks you don't know exist.
For most engagements, we don't need direct access to your sensitive materials at all. We build systems that integrate with your data sources—whether that's proprietary research, controlled technical data, or classified intelligence repositories—without Syntheos ever touching the contents.
Here's how it works: we set up development environments using synthetic data repositories that mirror the structure and behavior of your actual sources. We build and test the entire workflow against that synthetic layer. When you deploy internally, your team swaps in the real data sources. The system doesn't know the difference. It was built to the right interface from the start.
This approach lets us serve clients in highly restricted environments without requiring us to hold clearances or access controlled materials. You get a working decision system; your data never leaves your control.
Every source has errors or the potential for error. Ours included. There's no infallible oracle we're secretly plugged into. The system will get something wrong at some point.
But that's true of every input you use to make decisions: analysts, reports, databases, advisors. How we handle this in daily life without being paralyzed is that we learn what sources are good at and what they're not. You might have a colleague who's brilliant at technical analysis but terrible at reading organizational politics. You learn to trust her on the first thing and verify her on the second.
The trick isn't to always be right. The trick is to fail predictably. We build systems that show their work so you can learn what you can trust without validation and what needs a second look. Then we make verification as fast as possible, surfacing the reasoning, the sources, and the assumptions so you can check them without digging.
And here's the thing: regardless of whether you trust a system or not, you should always know how it arrived at its answer. When you're called to defend a decision of consequence to a board, a commander, a regulator, or the press, "the AI told me to" is never going to be sufficient. You need to own the decision. Our job is to make sure you can.
Honestly, a large data science team can be as much hindrance as help. We've seen projects fail with twenty engineers and succeed with two people who deeply understand the decisions being made. The difference is almost never technical capacity.
The real requirements are domain expertise and organizational willingness. You need people who know what a good decision looks like in your context, who can tell us when the system's outputs don't pass the smell test, and who have enough authority to actually change how decisions get made. That's usually a senior analyst, a program lead, a section chief. Not a machine learning team.
We handle the technical build: integrations, pipelines, interfaces. What we can't do is understand your decision environment better than you do. We'll ask a lot of questions early on, and the quality of your answers matters more than your technical stack.
Over time, we train your team to operate and extend the system. But we size that to your reality. Some clients have dedicated analytics groups who want to own the infrastructure. Others have one overworked analyst who needs something that just works. Both can succeed. The failure pattern we see is when organizations treat this as a technical project and staff it with engineers who don't have the domain credibility to push for adoption. A working system that nobody uses is worse than no system at all.
Consultants are in the advice business. They analyze your situation, develop recommendations, present them compellingly, and leave. The value is in the quality of their thinking applied to your specific problem at a specific moment in time. That's genuinely useful for certain things like navigating a reorganization, evaluating an acquisition, developing a new strategy. Problems that are one-time or infrequent, where you need outside perspective and horsepower.
We're in a different business. We build infrastructure for decisions that recur: the weekly triage, the quarterly allocation review, the ongoing portfolio assessment. The output isn't a report. It's a working system that your team operates after we're gone. The goal isn't to make one decision well, it's to make a category of decisions permanently better.
A consulting report, no matter how good, is a snapshot. It reflects the information and analysis available at a point in time. Six months later, the world has moved on and the report is stale. You either live with outdated recommendations or pay for another engagement. A decision system continues to ingest new evidence and update its outputs. The analysis stays current because the infrastructure is doing the work.
That said, we're not competing with consultants for the same problems. If you need help figuring out whether to enter a new market or how to restructure your division, you should hire a consulting firm. That's not what we do. What we've noticed is that many consulting engagements end with recommendations the organization can't sustain because they don't have the decision infrastructure to operationalize them. "Be more data-driven" is easy to say. Actually doing it requires systems, not just intent.
If, during an engagement, it becomes apparent that you need advice, like organizational change management that's outside what we do, we will tell you that you need a consultant. Hopefully they'll do the same when they learn a potential client needs decision infrastructure rather than advice. There's no reason it has to be one or the other.
